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Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Guenther vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.58 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Guenther has 1 game left; Tarasenko has no games left. We project Guenther for 1.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 0.0.

Dylan Guenther has the better number in 29 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Guenther's biggest edges: Corsi 53.1%, 20+ mph bursts 217, Fenwick 53.5%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Blocked shots 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 3 G, 2 A, 5 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Guenther

2.15

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dylan Guenther has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentherTarasenko
Goals (+2)1.010.61
Assists (+1)0.420.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.310.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Guenther vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GuentherTarasenko
5Team record in 7 meetings2
5Points in those games7

Guenther 3G 2A, 20 SOG · Tarasenko 1G 6A, 14 SOG

On the ice against each other (Guenther's side)

6:48 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Guenther's side

Shot attempts
8–7
53.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
25.7%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Guenther and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreGuentherTarasenko
2026-03-10UTA 0–5 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2026-02-27UTA 5–2 MIN0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-25UTA 6–2 MIN0G 1A 5S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-24UTA 1–5 DET1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-06UTA 4–2 DET1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-03-01ARI 5–3 OTT1G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2023-01-26ARI 5–0 STL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentherTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Guenther

3games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Guenther or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dylan Guenther projects to 2.58 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Guenther had 73 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Guenther or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dylan Guenther leads in 29 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Guenther and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Guenther's team went 5–2. Guenther had 5 points (3 goals) and Tarasenko had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →