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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Filip Hronek

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsFilip HronekFilip HronekCanucks · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Filip Hronek has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Ascension score 57.

Hronek's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +0.8, Corsi 49.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenHronek
Goals (+2)0.480.17
Assists (+1)0.260.68
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.17
Hits (+0.1)0.240.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Hronek

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenHronek
13Team record in 17 meetings4
10Points in those games6

Tolvanen 6G 4A, 38 SOG · Hronek 0G 6A, 28 SOG

5Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other2

Tolvanen blocked 3 of Hronek's shots; Hronek blocked 2 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

25:39 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
15–34
30.6%
Expected goals
0.8–1.1
40.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Filip Hronek
DateScoreTolvanenHronek
2026-03-14SEA 5–2 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2026-02-28SEA 5–1 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-01-02SEA 4–3 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2025-12-29SEA 2–3 VAN0G 0A 6S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-01SEA 6–3 VAN2G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-22SEA 5–2 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-24SEA 1–5 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-18SEA 4–3 VAN0G 1A 0S0G 1A 4S
2023-02-18SEA 4–2 DET1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-07NSH 5–2 DET1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2021-04-06NSH 3–2 DET0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2021-03-25NSH 7–1 DET1G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenHronek

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Filip Hronek?
On 2025-26 numbers, Filip Hronek leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Hronek done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 13–4. Tolvanen had 10 points (6 goals) and Hronek had 6 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →