Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Nikolaj Ehlers
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Blocked shots 81, Penalty minutes 30.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Fenwick 61.3%, Corsi 60.6%, Scoring chances 58.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Ehlers
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 0G 1A, 16 SOG · Ehlers 3G 3A, 35 SOG
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
12:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–17
- 26.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 36.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | Ehlers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | SEA 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-10 | SEA 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-03-16 | SEA 2–3 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | SEA 1–2 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-10-24 | SEA 3–4 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-03-08 | SEA 0–3 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-05 | SEA 4–3 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-14 | SEA 2–3 WPG | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2021-10-23 | NSH 4–6 WPG | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows the most FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LW
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Nikolaj Ehlers?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and Ehlers done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 2–7. Tolvanen had 1 points (0 goals) and Ehlers had 6 (3 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →