Who to start · 2025-26
Eeli Tolvanen vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.
Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Tolvanen has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.6.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hits 187, Hardest shot 92.8, Ascension score 57.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, High-danger chances 53.8%, Plus/minus +8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Eeli Tolvanen
1.71
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tolvanen | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.49 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tolvanen 0G 0A, 19 SOG · O'Reilly 2G 11A, 27 SOG
Tolvanen blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 3 of Tolvanen's.
On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)
20:06 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–23
- 42.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 59.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tolvanen | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | SEA 2–4 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-03-06 | SEA 3–5 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-20 | SEA 3–0 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-15 | SEA 7–3 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-16 | SEA 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-02 | SEA 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-12 | SEA 0–3 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-02-26 | SEA 1–5 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-17 | NSH 3–8 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2022-03-12 | NSH 4–7 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-01-17 | NSH 3–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 3S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Eeli Tolvanen
4games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.6 pts
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tolvanen and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 5–9. Tolvanen had 0 points (0 goals) and O'Reilly had 13 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →