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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Seth Jarvis

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsSeth JarvisSeth JarvisHurricanes · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 28 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Blocked shots 81, On-ice PDO 993, Hits 187.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Fenwick 59.7%, Corsi 60.4%, Scoring chances 55.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.64

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenJarvis
Goals (+2)0.310.90
Assists (+1)0.310.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.32
Hits (+0.1)0.240.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.520.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenJarvis
3Team record in 7 meetings4
2Points in those games6

Tolvanen 1G 1A, 12 SOG · Jarvis 3G 3A, 19 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Tolvanen blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Tolvanen's.

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

11:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
9–19
32.1%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
30.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreTolvanenJarvis
2026-03-02SEA 2–1 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-10SEA 2–3 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-03SEA 4–2 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-26SEA 1–4 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2023-10-26SEA 2–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-19SEA 7–4 CAR0G 1A 0S2G 1A 5S
2022-02-18NSH 3–5 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenJarvis

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 28 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Jarvis done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 3–4. Tolvanen had 2 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →