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Who to start · 2025-26

Eeli Tolvanen vs Tomas Hertl

Eeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wingvsTomas HertlTomas HertlGolden Knights · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Tolvanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hertl for 2.0 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 993, Luck Meter −24, Transition attempts /60 1.47.

Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Faceoffs won 720, Scoring chances 56.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromTolvanenHertl
Goals (+2)0.480.63
Assists (+1)0.260.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.27
Hits (+0.1)0.240.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.490.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Tolvanen vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

TolvanenHertl
10Team record in 13 meetings3
6Points in those games3

Tolvanen 4G 2A, 22 SOG · Hertl 1G 2A, 22 SOG

On the ice against each other (Tolvanen's side)

4:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tolvanen's side

Shot attempts
8–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Eeli Tolvanen and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreTolvanenHertl
2026-04-15SEA 1–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-31SEA 3–2 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-11SEA 2–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-10SEA 1–2 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-12-21SEA 2–6 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-08SEA 4–3 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-22SEA 7–1 SJS2G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-16SEA 2–1 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2022-10-08NSH 3–2 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-10-07NSH 4–1 SJS1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-04-12NSH 1–0 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-03-05NSH 8–0 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

TolvanenHertl

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Eeli Tolvanen or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Tolvanen had 36 points in 78 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Eeli Tolvanen or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Tolvanen and Hertl done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Tolvanen's team went 10–3. Tolvanen had 6 points (4 goals) and Hertl had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →