Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Lindholm's 1.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 31 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Blocked shots 59, Draw Equity /100 +0.081, Faceoff win % 56.1%.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, 20+ mph bursts 455, Scoring chances 59.3%.

Head to head on the dot, Lindholm leads MacKinnon 48–25.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.78

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.551.49
Assists (+1)0.460.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.46
Hits (+0.1)0.060.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.410.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmMacKinnon
10Team record in 25 meetings15
14Points in those games38

Lindholm 8G 6A, 51 SOG · MacKinnon 16G 22A, 123 SOG

48Faceoffs against each other25

Lindholm's offensive zone 16–7 · neutral 17–6 · Lindholm's defensive zone 15–12 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other1

Lindholm blocked 3 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of Lindholm's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

10:27 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
5–21
19.2%
Expected goals
0.0–1.4
0.7%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreLindholmMacKinnon
2025-10-25BOS 3–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2025-10-18BOS 1–4 COL0G 0A 0S2G 0A 8S
2025-01-25BOS 3–1 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 8S
2024-10-16BOS 5–3 COL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2024-03-13VAN 3–4 COL0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-02-20VAN 1–3 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 10S
2023-12-11CGY 5–6 COL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2023-11-25CGY 1–3 COL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-02-25CGY 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-01-18CGY 1–4 COL0G 1A 4S0G 2A 3S
2022-10-13CGY 5–3 COL1G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2022-03-13CGY 0–3 COL0G 0A 5S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 31 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 10–15. Lindholm had 14 points (8 goals) and MacKinnon had 38 (16 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lindholm or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Lindholm has won 48 and MacKinnon 25 of their 73 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →