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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.8%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60, Hits 67.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +0.7, Transition attempts /60 0.49.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.05

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonProvorov
Goals (+2)0.410.22
Assists (+1)0.490.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.19
Hits (+0.1)0.090.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.730.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonProvorov
7Team record in 13 meetings6
16Points in those games3

Pettersson 6G 10A, 27 SOG · Provorov 0G 3A, 26 SOG

1Hits on each other1
3Shots blocked by the other6

Pettersson blocked 3 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 6 of Pettersson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

7:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
9–6
60.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.1
94.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Ivan Provorov
DateScorePetterssonProvorov
2026-01-15VAN 1–4 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-08VAN 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-06VAN 5–2 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-27VAN 5–4 CBJ2G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-15VAN 3–4 CBJ1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-18VAN 6–2 PHI2G 3A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-15VAN 2–3 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 1A 6S
2021-10-28VAN 1–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-10-15VAN 5–4 PHI1G 1A 6S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-25VAN 1–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-12VAN 3–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2019-02-04VAN 1–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to C
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to C
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to D
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to D

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Provorov done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 7–6. Pettersson had 16 points (6 goals) and Provorov had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →