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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Morgan Rielly

Elias PetterssonElias PetterssonCanucks · CentrevsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.8, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.002, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.60.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Luck Meter +10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonRielly
Goals (+2)0.590.25
Assists (+1)0.550.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.17
Hits (+0.1)0.130.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonRielly
7Team record in 15 meetings8
12Points in those games12

Pettersson 3G 9A, 28 SOG · Rielly 3G 9A, 38 SOG

4Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other1

Pettersson blocked 4 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Pettersson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

6:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
3–9
25.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
43.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Morgan Rielly
DateScorePetterssonRielly
2026-01-31VAN 2–3 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2026-01-10VAN 0–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-08VAN 2–1 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-11VAN 3–0 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-20VAN 6–4 TOR1G 1A 4S0G 2A 10S
2023-11-11VAN 2–5 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-04VAN 4–1 TOR1G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-11-12VAN 2–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-05VAN 6–4 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-02-12VAN 3–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 8S
2021-02-08VAN 1–3 TOR1G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2021-02-06VAN 1–5 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Rielly done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 7–8. Pettersson had 12 points (3 goals) and Rielly had 12 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →