Who to start · 2025-26
Erik Karlsson vs Matthew Knies
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.
Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games.
This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Knies has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Knies for 1.4 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.
Erik Karlsson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Karlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Corsi 54.0%, Fenwick 53.1%.
Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Ascension score 56, Blocked shots 32.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Erik Karlsson
1.96
fantasy points per game
Matthew Knies
2.06
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.
| Points per game from | Karlsson | Knies |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.38 | 0.80 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.43 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Knies
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Karlsson 2G 3A, 27 SOG · Knies 5G 6A, 18 SOG
Karlsson blocked 0 of Knies's shots; Knies blocked 1 of Karlsson's.
On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)
17:26 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–12
- 61.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.9
- 18.8%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Karlsson | Knies |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | PIT 3–6 TOR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-29 | PIT 2–7 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-03 | PIT 3–4 TOR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-02 | PIT 5–6 TOR | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-07 | PIT 5–2 TOR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-12 | PIT 2–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-04-08 | PIT 2–3 TOR | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-16 | PIT 0–7 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-25 | PIT 3–2 TOR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Erik Karlsson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ PHIOpp allows 2nd-most FP to D
- Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
Matthew Knies
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 10th-most FP to LW
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LW
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Erik Karlsson or Matthew Knies in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Matthew Knies?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Karlsson and Knies done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 2–7. Karlsson had 5 points (2 goals) and Knies had 11 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →