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Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Pavel Zacha

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left; Zacha has 1 left. We project Karlsson for 1.9 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.8.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, High-danger chances 53.6%, 20+ mph bursts 153.

Zacha's biggest edges: Hits 64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.019, Penalty minutes 28.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Pavel Zacha

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Erik Karlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonZacha
Goals (+2)0.380.68
Assists (+1)0.700.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.18
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Zacha

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonZacha
6Team record in 17 meetings11
14Points in those games18

Karlsson 2G 12A, 64 SOG · Zacha 6G 12A, 28 SOG

1Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

11:38 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
12–10
54.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
46.4%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Pavel Zacha
DateScoreKarlssonZacha
2026-03-08PIT 5–4 BOS0G 2A 6S3G 0A 4S
2026-03-03PIT 1–2 BOS1G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-11PIT 0–1 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-13PIT 1–4 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-03-01PIT 2–3 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2024-11-29PIT 2–1 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-04-13PIT 4–6 BOS0G 1A 5S1G 1A 4S
2024-03-09PIT 1–5 BOS0G 0A 9S2G 1A 2S
2024-01-04PIT 6–5 BOS0G 2A 0S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-22SJS 0–4 BOS0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-07SJS 2–4 BOS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-30SJS 5–2 NJD1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonZacha

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.9 pts

Pavel Zacha

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Pavel Zacha in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Erik Karlsson projects to 1.96 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Pavel Zacha?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Zacha done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 6–11. Karlsson had 14 points (2 goals) and Zacha had 18 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →