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Who to start · 2025-26

Gabriel Vilardi vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.

Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Vilardi's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.8%, Power-play share 65.5%, Power-play time per game 3:01.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Hits 132, 20+ mph bursts 93, Plus/minus +41.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Gabriel Vilardi

1.76

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromVilardiSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.690.44
Assists (+1)0.510.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.14
Hits (+0.1)0.020.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

VilardiSamuelsson
1Team record in 4 meetings3
2Points in those games1

Vilardi 1G 1A, 5 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 7 SOG

1Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)

11:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side

Shot attempts
7–11
38.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.7
42.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Gabriel Vilardi and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreVilardiSamuelsson
2025-12-05WPG 4–1 BUF1G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-01WPG 1–5 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-23WPG 3–5 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2022-12-13LAK 0–6 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

VilardiSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Gabriel Vilardi

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Vilardi and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 1–3. Vilardi had 2 points (1 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →