Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 31 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.014, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, Ascension score 56.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 455, Top skating speed 24.8, Plus/minus +57.
Head to head on the dot, Vilardi leads MacKinnon 6–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 9G 7A, 40 SOG · MacKinnon 13G 19A, 108 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 3–1 · Vilardi's defensive zone 2–2 (2019-20 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
34:00 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–32
- 43.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–1.3
- 30.4%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WPG 4–2 COL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2–3 COL | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3–1 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-19 | WPG 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-22 | WPG 3–2 COL | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2025-01-11 | WPG 3–0 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-31 | WPG 2–5 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-11-07 | WPG 1–0 COL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | WPG 3–6 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 7S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | WPG 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | WPG 2–6 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 8S |
| 2024-04-23 · PO | WPG 2–5 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 31 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 12–13. Vilardi had 16 points (9 goals) and MacKinnon had 32 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 6 and MacKinnon 6 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →