Who to start · 2025-26
Gabriel Vilardi vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76.
Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Vilardi has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Vilardi's 1.3.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Vilardi's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.74, On-ice PDO 1018, Ascension score 56.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, 20+ mph bursts 128, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Gabriel Vilardi
1.76
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vilardi | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.51 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vilardi vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Vilardi 2G 1A, 11 SOG · Aho 1G 4A, 14 SOG
Vilardi's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 1–0 · Vilardi's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Vilardi's side)
15:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Vilardi's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–15
- 54.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.7
- 55.0%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vilardi | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | WPG 1–5 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3–4 CAR | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-03-09 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-12-04 | WPG 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2022-12-03 | LAK 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Gabriel Vilardi
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.3 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Gabriel Vilardi or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Gabriel Vilardi's 1.76. Vilardi had 69 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Gabriel Vilardi or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vilardi and Aho done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Vilardi's team went 2–4. Vilardi had 3 points (2 goals) and Aho had 5 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Vilardi or Aho?
- Against each other, Vilardi has won 4 and Aho 0 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →