Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Barbashev vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59.

Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Barbashev has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Barbashev for 1.8 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Ivan Barbashev has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Plus/minus +20, Expected goals 57.3%, Sequence xG 57.2%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Morgan Rielly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarbashevRielly
Goals (+2)0.490.25
Assists (+1)0.530.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.17
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barbashev vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarbashevRielly
10Team record in 14 meetings4
10Points in those games6

Barbashev 3G 7A, 18 SOG · Rielly 2G 4A, 25 SOG

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other2

Barbashev blocked 1 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Barbashev's.

On the ice against each other (Barbashev's side)

6:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barbashev's side

Shot attempts
7–8
46.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
64.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Barbashev and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreBarbashevRielly
2026-01-23VGK 6–3 TOR0G 2A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-01-15VGK 6–5 TOR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-05VGK 5–2 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-20VGK 0–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-27VGK 6–2 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-22VGK 3–7 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-01-03STL 6–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-15STL 5–6 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 2A 3S
2022-02-19STL 6–3 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-07STL 2–5 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2019-10-07STL 3–2 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-02-19STL 3–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarbashevRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Barbashev or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Morgan Rielly projects to 1.61 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Barbashev's 1.59. Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Barbashev or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Barbashev leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barbashev and Rielly done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Barbashev's team went 10–4. Barbashev had 10 points (3 goals) and Rielly had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →