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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Jacob Trouba

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jacob Trouba projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Trouba had 35 in 81 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Trouba has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Trouba for 2.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1012, 20+ mph bursts 56, Plus/minus +14.

Trouba's biggest edges: Hits 143, Fenwick 52.3%, Luck Meter +29.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Jacob Trouba

1.87

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jacob Trouba has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovTrouba
Goals (+2)0.220.25
Assists (+1)0.270.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.030.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.92

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Trouba

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovTrouba
10Team record in 24 meetings14
9Points in those games11

Provorov 2G 7A, 49 SOG · Trouba 4G 7A, 61 SOG

0Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other4

Provorov blocked 2 of Trouba's shots; Trouba blocked 4 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

14:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
11–17
39.3%
Expected goals
0.4–0.6
38.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Jacob Trouba
DateScoreProvorovTrouba
2025-12-20CBJ 3–4 ANA0G 1A 1S1G 0A 1S
2025-12-16CBJ 4–3 ANA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14CBJ 3–4 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-02-28CBJ 1–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-25CBJ 4–2 NYR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-12CBJ 3–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2023-10-14CBJ 5–3 NYR0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-01PHI 2–3 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-17PHI 3–6 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-11-01PHI 0–1 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-13PHI 0–4 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2022-04-03PHI 4–3 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovTrouba

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Jacob Trouba

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Jacob Trouba in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jacob Trouba projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Trouba had 35 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Jacob Trouba?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Trouba done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 10–14. Provorov had 9 points (2 goals) and Trouba had 11 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →