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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Jake DeBrusk

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; DeBrusk had 42 in 81 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; DeBrusk has 2 left. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ivan Provorov has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +0.7, Faceoffs won 0.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.0%, Top skating speed 23.5, Hits 66.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Jake DeBrusk

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovDeBrusk
Goals (+2)0.220.57
Assists (+1)0.270.23
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs DeBrusk

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovDeBrusk
10Team record in 25 meetings15
14Points in those games13

Provorov 1G 13A, 46 SOG · DeBrusk 6G 7A, 53 SOG

1Hits on each other2
6Shots blocked by the other1

Provorov blocked 6 of DeBrusk's shots; DeBrusk blocked 1 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

5:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
7–4
63.6%
Expected goals
0.3–0.3
47.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Jake DeBrusk
DateScoreProvorovDeBrusk
2026-01-15CBJ 4–1 VAN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-08CBJ 3–4 VAN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-28CBJ 7–6 VAN0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-06CBJ 2–5 VAN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-02CBJ 1–4 BOS0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-03CBJ 1–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-27CBJ 5–2 BOS1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-09PHI 3–5 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-17PHI 1–4 BOS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2022-01-13PHI 2–3 BOS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2021-11-20PHI 2–5 BOS0G 1A 0S0G 2A 3S
2021-10-20PHI 6–3 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovDeBrusk

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Jake DeBrusk in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; DeBrusk had 42 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Jake DeBrusk?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Provorov leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and DeBrusk done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 10–15. Provorov had 14 points (1 goals) and DeBrusk had 13 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →