Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.4.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Goals above expected +0.7.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.4%, Offensive-zone time 43.9%, Top skating speed 23.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

2.02

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.220.71
Assists (+1)0.270.53
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.29
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovMarchenko
2Team record in 2 meetings0
2Points in those games1

Provorov 0G 2A, 3 SOG · Marchenko 1G 0A, 6 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Provorov blocked 0 of Marchenko's shots; Marchenko blocked 1 of Provorov's.

5Goals set up by the other11

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

466:54 at 5-on-5 over 75 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
513–433
54.2%
Expected goals
22.1–18.5
54.5%
Goals
24–11

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreProvorovMarchenko
2023-04-11PHI 4–3 CBJ0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-20PHI 5–3 CBJ0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Marchenko done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 2–0. Provorov had 2 points (0 goals) and Marchenko had 1 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →