Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Kyle Connor
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Kyle Connor has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 134, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.
Connor's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.2%, Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Luck Meter +36.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Kyle Connor
2.22
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Connor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.95 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.12 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Connor
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 2G 3A, 27 SOG · Connor 10G 5A, 44 SOG
Provorov blocked 3 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 0 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
15:30 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–12
- 47.8%
- Expected goals
- 0.7–0.5
- 56.5%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Connor |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | CBJ 1–2 WPG | 1G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-18 | CBJ 2–5 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-08 | CBJ 4–1 WPG | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2024-11-01 | CBJ 2–6 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-03-17 | CBJ 1–6 WPG | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-28 | PHI 4–0 WPG | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-22 | PHI 3–5 WPG | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-27 | PHI 0–4 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2022-02-01 | PHI 3–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2020-02-22 | PHI 4–2 WPG | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-15 | PHI 3–7 WPG | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2019-01-28 | PHI 3–1 WPG | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Kyle Connor
2games (1 left)
2.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Kyle Connor?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Connor done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 6–9. Provorov had 5 points (2 goals) and Connor had 15 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →