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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Mark Scheifele

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Scheifele has 1 left. We project Scheifele for 2.4 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Mark Scheifele has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.49, High-danger chances 52.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Scheifele's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 70.0%, Offensive-zone time 44.0%, Luck Meter +67.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Mark Scheifele

2.37

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovScheifele
Goals (+2)0.220.88
Assists (+1)0.270.82
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.21
Hits (+0.1)0.030.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.29

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Scheifele

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovScheifele
5Team record in 14 meetings9
5Points in those games18

Provorov 2G 3A, 26 SOG · Scheifele 3G 15A, 27 SOG

3Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other1

Provorov blocked 2 of Scheifele's shots; Scheifele blocked 1 of Provorov's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

17:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
11–15
42.3%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
50.6%
Goals
0–3

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Mark Scheifele
DateScoreProvorovScheifele
2026-04-04CBJ 1–2 WPG1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2025-11-18CBJ 2–5 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 3A 1S
2024-12-08CBJ 4–1 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-01CBJ 2–6 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2024-03-17CBJ 1–6 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-09CBJ 0–5 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-01-28PHI 4–0 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2023-01-22PHI 3–5 WPG1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2022-02-01PHI 3–1 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-22PHI 4–2 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2019-12-15PHI 3–7 WPG0G 1A 4S1G 2A 1S
2019-01-28PHI 3–1 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovScheifele

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

Mark Scheifele

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Mark Scheifele in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Scheifele had 103 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Mark Scheifele?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mark Scheifele leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Scheifele done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 5–9. Provorov had 5 points (2 goals) and Scheifele had 18 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →