Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Matt Boldy
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Boldy has 1 left. We project Boldy for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Matt Boldy has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.060, Faceoffs won 0.
Boldy's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.9%, Luck Meter +65, Goals above expected +8.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Matt Boldy
2.69
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Boldy |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 1.11 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Boldy
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 0G 2A, 11 SOG · Boldy 10G 10A, 35 SOG
Provorov blocked 2 of Boldy's shots; Boldy blocked 0 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
9:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–20
- 23.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.9
- 10.6%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Boldy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | CBJ 2–5 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | CBJ 7–4 MIN | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2024-10-19 | CBJ 1–3 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-10 | CBJ 2–3 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2024-01-06 | CBJ 3–4 MIN | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 7S |
| 2023-03-23 | PHI 5–4 MIN | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2023-01-26 | PHI 2–3 MIN | 0G 1A 0S | 2G 1A 4S |
| 2022-03-29 | PHI 1–4 MIN | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-03-03 | PHI 4–5 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Matt Boldy in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Boldy had 85 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Matt Boldy?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Matt Boldy leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Boldy done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 2–7. Provorov had 2 points (0 goals) and Boldy had 20 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →