Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Mika Zibanejad

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zibanejad has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Zibanejad for 1.4 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Mika Zibanejad has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Transition attempts /60 0.49, Penalty minutes 32.

Zibanejad's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 43.4%, Hits 105, Offensive-zone start % 58.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Mika Zibanejad

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mika Zibanejad has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovZibanejad
Goals (+2)0.220.84
Assists (+1)0.270.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.22
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.27
Hits (+0.1)0.030.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Zibanejad

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovZibanejad
19Team record in 37 meetings18
13Points in those games38

Provorov 3G 10A, 72 SOG · Zibanejad 16G 22A, 111 SOG

2Hits on each other8
10Shots blocked by the other6

Provorov blocked 10 of Zibanejad's shots; Zibanejad blocked 6 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

22:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
17–26
39.5%
Expected goals
0.9–0.7
55.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Mika Zibanejad
DateScoreProvorovZibanejad
2026-03-19CBJ 6–3 NYR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-02CBJ 5–4 NYR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2025-11-15CBJ 1–2 NYR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 7S
2025-03-15CBJ 0–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-09CBJ 7–3 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S
2025-02-08CBJ 3–4 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-18CBJ 0–1 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-02-28CBJ 1–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-25CBJ 4–2 NYR1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-12CBJ 3–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-14CBJ 5–3 NYR0G 2A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-01PHI 2–3 NYR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 37 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovZibanejad

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mika Zibanejad

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Mika Zibanejad in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Mika Zibanejad?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mika Zibanejad leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Zibanejad done against each other?
In 37 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 19–18. Provorov had 13 points (3 goals) and Zibanejad had 38 (16 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →