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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Corsi 50.3%, Goals above expected +0.7.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%, Penalty minutes 93.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.34

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovRantanen
Goals (+2)0.220.69
Assists (+1)0.270.86
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.27
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.22
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovRantanen
6Team record in 14 meetings8
4Points in those games16

Provorov 1G 3A, 29 SOG · Rantanen 10G 6A, 43 SOG

5Hits on each other3
4Shots blocked by the other2

Provorov blocked 4 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 2 of Provorov's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

7:20 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
6–2
75.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.0
95.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreProvorovRantanen
2025-10-21CBJ 5–1 DAL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-12CBJ 6–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-01CBJ 4–1 COL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 6S
2024-03-22CBJ 1–6 COL0G 0A 4S2G 1A 3S
2022-12-13PHI 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-05PHI 5–3 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2022-03-25PHI 3–6 COL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2021-12-06PHI 5–7 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2020-02-01PHI 6–3 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2019-12-11PHI 1–3 COL0G 0A 3S2G 0A 3S
2018-10-22PHI 1–4 COL0G 0A 4S2G 0A 3S
2018-10-06PHI 2–5 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Rantanen done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 6–8. Provorov had 4 points (1 goals) and Rantanen had 16 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →