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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Nick Suzuki

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Suzuki has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Suzuki for 1.7 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Nick Suzuki has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +0.1, Hardest shot 97.1, High-danger chances 52.3%.

Suzuki's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.1%, Top skating speed 23.6, Fenwick 54.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Nick Suzuki

2.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nick Suzuki has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovSuzuki
Goals (+2)0.220.71
Assists (+1)0.270.88
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.26
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.22
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Suzuki

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovSuzuki
7Team record in 18 meetings11
7Points in those games15

Provorov 3G 4A, 26 SOG · Suzuki 6G 9A, 35 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other3

Provorov blocked 1 of Suzuki's shots; Suzuki blocked 3 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

24:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
32–20
61.5%
Expected goals
1.7–0.7
70.3%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Nick Suzuki
DateScoreProvorovSuzuki
2026-04-11CBJ 5–2 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-03-26CBJ 1–2 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-17CBJ 4–3 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-23CBJ 5–4 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-27CBJ 3–4 MTL0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2024-11-16CBJ 1–5 MTL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-03-12CBJ 0–3 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-29CBJ 2–4 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-26CBJ 3–4 MTL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 5S
2023-03-28PHI 3–2 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-24PHI 2–5 MTL1G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2022-11-19PHI 4–5 MTL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S

Latest 12 of 18 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovSuzuki

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Nick Suzuki

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.7 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Nick Suzuki in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nick Suzuki projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Suzuki had 101 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Nick Suzuki?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nick Suzuki leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Suzuki done against each other?
In 18 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 7–11. Provorov had 7 points (3 goals) and Suzuki had 15 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →