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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovBlue Jackets · DefencevsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dorofeyev for 1.4 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, Blocked shots 134.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.1%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.220.90
Assists (+1)0.270.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.28
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovDorofeyev
1Team record in 6 meetings5
1Points in those games5

Provorov 0G 1A, 13 SOG · Dorofeyev 4G 1A, 11 SOG

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

4:33 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
3–2
60.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
33.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreProvorovDorofeyev
2026-01-08CBJ 3–5 VGK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-13CBJ 2–3 VGK0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-13CBJ 0–4 VGK0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-01-30CBJ 2–1 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-23CBJ 2–4 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2023-03-14PHI 3–5 VGK0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 1–5. Provorov had 1 points (0 goals) and Dorofeyev had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →