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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rakell has 1 left. We project Rakell for 2.0 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Rickard Rakell has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.49, Penalty minutes 32, Faceoffs won 0.

Rakell's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.6%, Offensive-zone start % 66.1%, Hits 71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Rickard Rakell has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovRakell
Goals (+2)0.220.80
Assists (+1)0.270.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.28
Hits (+0.1)0.030.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.36

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovRakell
10Team record in 19 meetings9
8Points in those games16

Provorov 2G 6A, 34 SOG · Rakell 12G 4A, 54 SOG

2Hits on each other9
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

22:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
23–29
44.2%
Expected goals
1.0–1.1
47.4%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreProvorovRakell
2026-01-17CBJ 4–3 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 7S
2026-01-04CBJ 4–5 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2025-10-25CBJ 5–4 PIT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-21CBJ 3–6 PIT0G 1A 1S1G 1A 1S
2025-01-07CBJ 4–3 PIT0G 0A 3S2G 0A 4S
2024-11-15CBJ 6–2 PIT0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-30CBJ 4–3 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-28CBJ 2–3 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-05CBJ 3–5 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-14CBJ 3–5 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-04-02PHI 2–4 PIT0G 0A 1S2G 0A 6S
2023-03-11PHI 1–5 PIT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWvs Jakub Dobes (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Rickard Rakell projects to 2.10 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Rickard Rakell leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Rakell done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 10–9. Provorov had 8 points (2 goals) and Rakell had 16 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →