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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Ryan Leonard

Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovBlue Jackets · DefencevsRyan LeonardRyan LeonardCapitals · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Leonard projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Leonard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Leonard for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Ryan Leonard has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.32, High-danger chances 52.3%.

Leonard's biggest edges: Hits 124, Top skating speed 24.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.50.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Ryan Leonard

1.50

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Provorov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovLeonard
Goals (+2)0.220.53
Assists (+1)0.270.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.20
Hits (+0.1)0.030.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Leonard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovLeonard
2Team record in 5 meetings3
1Points in those games2

Provorov 0G 1A, 10 SOG · Leonard 0G 2A, 12 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Provorov blocked 1 of Leonard's shots; Leonard blocked 1 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

14:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
22–10
68.8%
Expected goals
1.1–0.5
69.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Ryan Leonard
DateScoreProvorovLeonard
2026-04-14CBJ 1–2 WSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-24CBJ 1–5 WSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-10-24CBJ 1–5 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-04-13CBJ 4–1 WSH0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-04-12CBJ 7–0 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovLeonard

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Ryan Leonard

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Ryan Leonard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Leonard projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Ryan Leonard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Leonard leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Leonard done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 2–3. Provorov had 1 points (0 goals) and Leonard had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →