Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovBlue Jackets · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

In 2025-26, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Provorov for 1.1 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, On-ice PDO 1012, 20+ mph bursts 56.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.0%, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Goals above expected +2.1.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.220.56
Assists (+1)0.270.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.18
Hits (+0.1)0.030.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Ivan Provorov and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
In 2025-26, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scored 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →