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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Sam Reinhart

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Reinhart has 1 left. We project Reinhart for 2.3 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Sam Reinhart has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, 20+ mph bursts 56, Goals above expected +0.7.

Reinhart's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.3%, Power-play time per game 4:07, Power-play share 78.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Sam Reinhart

2.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovReinhart
Goals (+2)0.220.91
Assists (+1)0.270.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.03
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.26
Hits (+0.1)0.030.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Reinhart

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovReinhart
14Team record in 31 meetings17
18Points in those games34

Provorov 7G 11A, 65 SOG · Reinhart 16G 18A, 77 SOG

6Hits on each other3
3Shots blocked by the other3

Provorov blocked 3 of Reinhart's shots; Reinhart blocked 3 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

20:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
15–21
41.7%
Expected goals
1.0–0.7
58.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Sam Reinhart
DateScoreProvorovReinhart
2026-03-12CBJ 1–2 FLA0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2026-03-05CBJ 4–2 FLA1G 2A 4S0G 1A 5S
2025-12-06CBJ 6–7 FLA0G 2A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-20CBJ 0–1 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-06CBJ 0–3 FLA0G 0A 1S1G 2A 3S
2024-10-15CBJ 3–4 FLA0G 0A 1S1G 2A 2S
2024-04-11CBJ 0–4 FLA0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2023-12-10CBJ 2–5 FLA0G 0A 1S0G 4A 2S
2023-11-06CBJ 4–5 FLA0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-03-21PHI 6–3 FLA1G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2022-10-27PHI 4–3 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2022-10-19PHI 3–4 FLA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 31 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovReinhart

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

Sam Reinhart

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ CAR
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ SJS
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Sam Reinhart in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Reinhart had 61 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Sam Reinhart?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sam Reinhart leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Reinhart done against each other?
In 31 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 14–17. Provorov had 18 points (7 goals) and Reinhart had 34 (16 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →