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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.8 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

Timo Meier has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +0.7, On-ice PDO 1012.

Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Offensive-zone time 43.2%, Fenwick 54.0%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.81

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovMeier
Goals (+2)0.220.62
Assists (+1)0.270.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.35
Hits (+0.1)0.030.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovMeier
6Team record in 19 meetings13
6Points in those games14

Provorov 2G 4A, 27 SOG · Meier 12G 2A, 66 SOG

3Hits on each other4
4Shots blocked by the other2

Provorov blocked 4 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 2 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

23:35 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
23–30
43.4%
Expected goals
2.1–1.4
59.1%
Goals
4–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and Timo Meier
DateScoreProvorovMeier
2026-02-03CBJ 3–0 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2025-12-31CBJ 2–3 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-12-01CBJ 5–3 NJD0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-10-13CBJ 2–3 NJD0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-17CBJ 1–2 NJD0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2025-03-11CBJ 3–5 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2024-12-19CBJ 4–2 NJD1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-01-19CBJ 1–4 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2023-12-27CBJ 3–4 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2023-12-16CBJ 3–6 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-29PHI 4–3 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 1A 6S
2022-10-23PHI 0–3 SJS0G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Meier done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 6–13. Provorov had 6 points (2 goals) and Meier had 14 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →