Who to start · 2025-26
Ivan Provorov vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Provorov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Zegras for 1.2 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.
Trevor Zegras has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Provorov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.1, Blocked shots 134, Faceoffs won 0.
Zegras's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Penalty minutes 62, Offensive-zone start % 56.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ivan Provorov
1.56
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Trevor Zegras has the edge.
| Points per game from | Provorov | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.22 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.82 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Provorov vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Provorov 1G 1A, 17 SOG · Zegras 2G 3A, 23 SOG
Provorov blocked 2 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Provorov's.
On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)
14:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–14
- 46.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 46.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Provorov | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | CBJ 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-14 | CBJ 2–1 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-28 | CBJ 5–3 PHI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-11-10 | CBJ 2–4 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-24 | CBJ 2–3 ANA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-17 | PHI 5–2 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-01-02 | PHI 4–1 ANA | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 9S |
| 2022-04-09 | PHI 3–5 ANA | 1G 0A 3S | 2G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ivan Provorov
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs BUFOpp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ivan Provorov or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Provorov projects to 1.56 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ivan Provorov or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Provorov and Zegras done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 5–3. Provorov had 2 points (1 goals) and Zegras had 5 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →