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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Provorov vs William Nylander

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games.

This week Provorov has 1 game left; Nylander has 1 left. We project Nylander for 2.3 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.6.

William Nylander has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Faceoffs won 0, Blocked shots 134.

Nylander's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.1%, Offensive-zone time 42.6%, Luck Meter +74.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

William Nylander

2.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, William Nylander has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromProvorovNylander
Goals (+2)0.220.92
Assists (+1)0.270.75
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.24
Hits (+0.1)0.030.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.820.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Provorov vs Nylander

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ProvorovNylander
11Team record in 22 meetings11
12Points in those games26

Provorov 3G 9A, 56 SOG · Nylander 12G 14A, 78 SOG

1Hits on each other2
3Shots blocked by the other2

Provorov blocked 3 of Nylander's shots; Nylander blocked 2 of Provorov's.

On the ice against each other (Provorov's side)

15:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Provorov's side

Shot attempts
14–17
45.2%
Expected goals
1.0–0.4
72.5%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Provorov and William Nylander
DateScoreProvorovNylander
2025-11-26CBJ 1–2 TOR0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2025-11-20CBJ 3–2 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 6S
2025-04-05CBJ 0–5 TOR0G 0A 0S2G 0A 3S
2025-01-22CBJ 5–1 TOR0G 1A 0S0G 1A 6S
2024-10-22CBJ 6–2 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-29CBJ 6–5 TOR0G 1A 0S1G 1A 2S
2023-12-23CBJ 1–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 2A 2S
2023-12-14CBJ 6–5 TOR0G 2A 1S1G 1A 10S
2023-01-08PHI 2–6 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-22PHI 3–4 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 2A 5S
2022-11-02PHI 2–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-19PHI 2–5 TOR0G 0A 6S1G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ProvorovNylander

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts

William Nylander

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.3 pts

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Provorov or William Nylander in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, William Nylander projects to 2.36 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Provorov had 31 points in 82 games; Nylander had 79 in 65 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Provorov or William Nylander?
On 2025-26 numbers, William Nylander leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Provorov and Nylander done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Provorov's team went 11–11. Provorov had 12 points (3 goals) and Nylander had 26 (12 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →