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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hughes for 2.4 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.60, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.55, Luck Meter +13.

Miller's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 61.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Hits 123.

Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Hughes 11–10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesMiller
Goals (+2)0.950.42
Assists (+1)0.770.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.380.20
Hits (+0.1)0.010.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.250.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesMiller
8Team record in 10 meetings2
18Points in those games13

Hughes 9G 9A, 45 SOG · Miller 2G 11A, 21 SOG

10Faceoffs against each other11

Hughes's offensive zone 5–3 · neutral 5–3 · Hughes's defensive zone 0–5 (2019-20 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

10:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
9–7
56.3%
Expected goals
0.3–0.5
39.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and J.T. Miller
DateScoreHughesMiller
2026-03-31NJD 1–4 NYR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 1S
2026-03-18NJD 6–3 NYR1G 2A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-30NJD 6–0 VAN1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-05NJD 6–5 VAN1G 2A 6S1G 2A 4S
2023-02-06NJD 5–4 VAN2G 1A 9S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-01NJD 5–2 VAN1G 1A 8S0G 2A 0S
2022-03-15NJD 3–6 VAN1G 1A 5S0G 3A 7S
2022-02-28NJD 7–2 VAN1G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2019-11-10NJD 2–1 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2019-10-19NJD 1–0 VAN1G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to Cvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Miller done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 8–2. Hughes had 18 points (9 goals) and Miller had 13 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Miller?
Against each other, Hughes has won 10 and Miller 11 of their 21 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →