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Who to start · 2025-26

Jack Hughes vs Mathew Barzal

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.

This week Hughes has 1 game left; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Jack Hughes has the better number in 21 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Hughes's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.60, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.55, Scoring chances 56.0%.

Barzal's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 61, On-ice PDO 1006, Blocked shots 50.

Head to head on the dot, Barzal leads Hughes 9–3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jack Hughes

2.55

fantasy points per game

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHughesBarzal
Goals (+2)0.890.47
Assists (+1)0.820.65
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.370.23
Hits (+0.1)0.010.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hughes vs Barzal

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HughesBarzal
6Team record in 20 meetings14
15Points in those games22

Hughes 9G 6A, 65 SOG · Barzal 6G 16A, 43 SOG

3Faceoffs against each other9

Hughes's offensive zone 0–3 · neutral 2–5 · Hughes's defensive zone 1–1 (2020-21 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)

24:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side

Shot attempts
24–24
50.0%
Expected goals
1.0–1.5
39.9%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Jack Hughes and Mathew Barzal
DateScoreHughesBarzal
2026-01-06NJD 0–9 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 2A 4S
2025-12-23NJD 1–2 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-10NJD 2–3 NYI0G 0A 11S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-25NJD 3–4 NYI0G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2024-03-24NJD 4–0 NYI1G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2023-11-28NJD 5–4 NYI1G 2A 9S1G 2A 3S
2023-10-20NJD 5–4 NYI2G 2A 6S0G 1A 6S
2022-12-09NJD 4–6 NYI1G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2022-10-20NJD 4–1 NYI1G 0A 7S0G 1A 1S
2022-04-03NJD 3–4 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-01-13NJD 2–3 NYI0G 0A 5S1G 0A 3S
2021-12-11NJD 2–4 NYI1G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HughesBarzal

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jack Hughes

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

FAQ

Should I start Jack Hughes or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jack Hughes or Mathew Barzal?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 21 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hughes and Barzal done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 6–14. Hughes had 15 points (9 goals) and Barzal had 22 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Hughes or Barzal?
Against each other, Hughes has won 3 and Barzal 9 of their 12 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →