Who to start · 2025-26
Jack Hughes vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.
Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Hughes has 1 game left; Harley has 1 left. We project Hughes for 2.3 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.
Jack Hughes has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hughes's biggest edges: Fenwick 55.3%, Corsi 55.9%, Scoring chances 56.0%.
Harley's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Hits 39, Blocked shots 148.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jack Hughes
2.55
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jack Hughes has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hughes | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.95 | 0.16 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.99 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hughes vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hughes 4G 0A, 8 SOG · Harley 1G 3A, 9 SOG
On the ice against each other (Hughes's side)
6:44 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Hughes's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–7
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 56.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hughes | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | NJD 6–4 DAL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-02-22 | NJD 2–4 DAL | 2G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-14 | NJD 6–2 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jack Hughes
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI2.3 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jack Hughes or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jack Hughes projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Hughes had 77 points in 61 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jack Hughes or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jack Hughes leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hughes and Harley done against each other?
- In 3 games against each other in our data, Hughes's team went 2–1. Hughes had 4 points (4 goals) and Harley had 4 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →