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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Guentzel vs J.T. Miller

Jake GuentzelJake GuentzelLightning · CentrevsJ.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guentzel for 1.5 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 27 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Plus/minus +13, Luck Meter +40, Goals above expected +1.6.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Draw Equity /100 +0.123, Faceoff win % 61.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGuentzelMiller
Goals (+2)0.880.42
Assists (+1)0.580.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.20
Hits (+0.1)0.050.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Jake Guentzel and J.T. Miller have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GuentzelMiller

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Jake Guentzel or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Guentzel or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 27 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →