Who to start · 2025-26
Jake Guentzel vs Mattias Ekholm
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.
Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.
This week Guentzel has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Ekholm has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Guentzel for 1.5 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.
Jake Guentzel has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Guentzel's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.6, Power-play share 81.1%, Luck Meter +40.
Ekholm's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.4, Transition attempts /60 0.80, Hits 65.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jake Guentzel
2.20
fantasy points per game
Mattias Ekholm
1.43
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.
| Points per game from | Guentzel | Ekholm |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.88 | 0.13 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.02 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Guentzel vs Ekholm
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Guentzel 7G 4A, 32 SOG · Ekholm 1G 2A, 20 SOG
Guentzel blocked 0 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 3 of Guentzel's.
On the ice against each other (Guentzel's side)
11:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Guentzel's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–11
- 56.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.5
- 33.4%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Guentzel | Ekholm |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | TBL 5–2 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-20 | TBL 2–1 EDM | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-25 | TBL 4–1 EDM | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-10 | TBL 1–2 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-10 | PIT 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-15 | PIT 1–4 NSH | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2019-12-28 | PIT 6–4 NSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2019-12-27 | PIT 5–2 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-03-29 | PIT 1–3 NSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-03-21 | PIT 2–1 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-11-11 | PIT 4–5 NSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2017-10-07 | PIT 4–0 NSH | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jake Guentzel
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)
Mattias Ekholm
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jake Guentzel or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Guentzel had 88 points in 81 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jake Guentzel or Mattias Ekholm?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Guentzel and Ekholm done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Guentzel's team went 8–4. Guentzel had 11 points (7 goals) and Ekholm had 3 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →