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Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs Sebastian Aho

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Spurgeon's 1.1.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Blocked shots 137, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00, Ascension score 59.

Aho's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Penalty minutes 46.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.55

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonAho
Goals (+2)0.140.72
Assists (+1)0.250.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.25
Hits (+0.1)0.100.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.910.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonAho
6Team record in 12 meetings6
10Points in those games12

Spurgeon 1G 9A, 15 SOG · Aho 5G 7A, 35 SOG

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other1

Spurgeon blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Spurgeon's.

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

10:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
5–16
23.8%
Expected goals
0.3–0.4
44.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreSpurgeonAho
2025-11-19MIN 4–3 CAR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-06MIN 3–4 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-06MIN 2–1 CAR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2023-01-19MIN 2–5 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-11-19MIN 2–1 CAR0G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2022-04-02MIN 3–1 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2022-02-12MIN 3–2 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2019-11-16MIN 3–4 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-03-23MIN 1–5 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2018-10-13MIN 4–5 CAR1G 1A 3S2G 2A 5S
2018-03-06MIN 6–2 CAR0G 2A 0S0G 0A 3S
2017-10-07MIN 4–5 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 2A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonAho

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Aho done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 6–6. Spurgeon had 10 points (1 goals) and Aho had 12 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →