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Who to start · 2025-26

Jason Robertson vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Robertson has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Robertson for 2.7 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Jason Robertson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Robertson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +22, Expected goals 56.4%, Sequence xG 56.5%.

Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Ascension score 60, Goals above expected +2.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jason Robertson

2.44

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRobertsonRielly
Goals (+2)1.030.25
Assists (+1)0.580.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.230.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.17
Hits (+0.1)0.050.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Robertson vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RobertsonRielly
3Team record in 9 meetings6
7Points in those games9

Robertson 2G 5A, 22 SOG · Rielly 2G 7A, 20 SOG

3Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other2

Robertson blocked 0 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 2 of Robertson's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)

10:31 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side

Shot attempts
10–11
47.6%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
45.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jason Robertson and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreRobertsonRielly
2026-04-13DAL 6–5 TOR1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-21DAL 5–1 TOR1G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-01-14DAL 4–1 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-18DAL 3–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-07DAL 4–5 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-10-26DAL 1–4 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 1A 2S
2022-10-20DAL 2–3 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2022-04-07DAL 3–4 TOR0G 2A 1S1G 0A 1S
2022-03-15DAL 0–4 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RobertsonRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jason Robertson

2games (1 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.7 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Jason Robertson or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jason Robertson or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Robertson and Rielly done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 3–6. Robertson had 7 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →