Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs J.T. Miller
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Tavares for 1.7 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
J.T. Miller has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Luck Meter +12, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18.
Miller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Scoring chances 52.3%, Hardest shot 102.6.
Head to head on the dot, Miller leads Tavares 55–48.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
J.T. Miller
1.63
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, John Tavares has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.42 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Miller
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 11G 17A, 84 SOG · Miller 11G 13A, 63 SOG
Tavares's offensive zone 26–23 · neutral 8–15 · Tavares's defensive zone 14–17 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Tavares blocked 2 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 3 of Tavares's.
On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)
10:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–10
- 41.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.4
- 39.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Miller |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | TOR 4–3 NYR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-16 | TOR 2–1 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-20 | TOR 4–3 NYR | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-28 | TOR 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-11 | TOR 0–3 VAN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-20 | TOR 4–6 VAN | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-11-11 | TOR 5–2 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-04 | TOR 1–4 VAN | 1G 0A 8S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2022-11-12 | TOR 3–2 VAN | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2022-03-05 | TOR 4–6 VAN | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2022-02-12 | TOR 2–3 VAN | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2021-05-01 | TOR 5–1 VAN | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, John Tavares projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or J.T. Miller?
- On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Miller done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 17–12. Tavares had 28 points (11 goals) and Miller had 24 (11 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Miller?
- Against each other, Tavares has won 48 and Miller 55 of their 103 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →