Who to start · 2025-26
John Tavares vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80.
Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Tavares has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Tavares's 1.7.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Tavares's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.027, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Faceoffs won 801.
Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Scoring chances 56.3%, High-danger chances 56.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
John Tavares
1.80
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tavares | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.67 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tavares vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tavares 10G 10A, 58 SOG · Wilson 6G 9A, 45 SOG
Tavares's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Tavares's defensive zone 0–1 (2017-18 to 2023-24)
Tavares blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Tavares's.
On the ice against each other (Tavares's side)
5:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tavares's side
- Shot attempts
- 3–5
- 37.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.1
- 22.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tavares | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | TOR 0–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-12-18 | TOR 0–4 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-11-28 | TOR 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-12-28 | TOR 2–5 WSH | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-06 | TOR 1–3 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-13 | TOR 4–3 WSH | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-03-20 | TOR 7–3 WSH | 1G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-10-24 | TOR 4–1 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-04-14 | TOR 7–3 WSH | 0G 3A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-02-28 | TOR 5–3 WSH | 0G 2A 1S | 2G 0A 7S |
| 2019-10-16 | TOR 3–4 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-02-21 | TOR 2–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 17 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
John Tavares
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to C
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.7 pts
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start John Tavares or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to John Tavares's 1.80. Tavares had 71 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, John Tavares or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tavares and Wilson done against each other?
- In 17 games against each other in our data, Tavares's team went 7–10. Tavares had 20 points (10 goals) and Wilson had 15 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Tavares or Wilson?
- Against each other, Tavares has won 1 and Wilson 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →