Who to start · 2025-26
Josh Manson vs Mattias Samuelsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48.
Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.
This week Manson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Manson's 1.1.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Manson's biggest edges: Corsi 57.3%, Fenwick 57.4%, Penalty minutes 91.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.6, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.07, Ice-time share 37.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Josh Manson
1.48
fantasy points per game
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Manson | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.12 | 0.44 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.93 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Manson vs Samuelsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Manson 0G 1A, 3 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 0A, 5 SOG
Manson blocked 1 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 0 of Manson's.
On the ice against each other (Manson's side)
6:42 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Manson's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–11
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.3
- 44.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Manson | Samuelsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | COL 6–3 BUF | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-02 | COL 6–5 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-13 | COL 5–1 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-29 | COL 0–4 BUF | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-01 | COL 6–4 BUF | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Josh Manson
2games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.1 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Josh Manson or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48. Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Josh Manson or Mattias Samuelsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Manson and Samuelsson done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Manson's team went 4–1. Manson had 1 points (0 goals) and Samuelsson had 0 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →