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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs MacKenzie Weegar

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMacKenzie WeegarMacKenzie WeegarMammoth · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Weegar has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, High-danger chances 54.5%, Scoring chances 52.3%.

Weegar's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.82, Ascension score 50, Blocked shots 175.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerWeegar
Goals (+2)0.420.09
Assists (+1)0.440.28
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.20
Hits (+0.1)0.180.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.261.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerWeegar
10Team record in 19 meetings9
18Points in those games11

Miller 7G 11A, 49 SOG · Weegar 3G 8A, 51 SOG

9Hits on each other8
2Shots blocked by the other2

Miller blocked 2 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 2 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

4:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
9–7
56.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
51.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreMillerWeegar
2025-10-26NYR 1–5 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-18NYR 1–2 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2024-12-31VAN 1–3 CGY0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-12VAN 3–1 CGY0G 2A 5S0G 0A 5S
2024-10-09VAN 5–6 CGY1G 1A 3S1G 0A 5S
2024-04-16VAN 4–1 CGY1G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-03-23VAN 4–2 CGY1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-02VAN 4–3 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 1A 6S
2023-11-16VAN 2–5 CGY0G 1A 1S1G 0A 4S
2023-04-08VAN 3–2 CGY0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2023-03-31VAN 4–5 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 2A 6S
2022-12-31VAN 2–3 CGY0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerWeegar

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Weegar done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 10–9. Miller had 18 points (7 goals) and Weegar had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →