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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Mike Matheson

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMike MathesonMike MathesonCanadiens · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.9%, High-danger chances 54.5%, Power-play share 73.3%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +9, Ascension score 56, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerMatheson
Goals (+2)0.420.17
Assists (+1)0.440.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.16
Hits (+0.1)0.180.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerMatheson
11Team record in 17 meetings6
21Points in those games8

Miller 7G 14A, 35 SOG · Matheson 1G 7A, 22 SOG

5Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other1

Miller blocked 1 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 1 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

16:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
12–22
35.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.9
51.4%
Goals
2–2

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Mike Matheson
DateScoreMillerMatheson
2026-04-02NYR 2–3 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-12-13NYR 5–4 MTL2G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-18NYR 4–3 MTL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-06VAN 4–5 MTL2G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-21VAN 4–1 MTL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-12VAN 5–2 MTL0G 2A 2S1G 0A 1S
2022-12-05VAN 7–6 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2021-12-04VAN 1–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 5S
2021-11-24VAN 1–4 PIT0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2020-01-09VAN 2–5 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2019-02-10TBL 5–2 FLA0G 2A 0S0G 1A 0S
2018-12-01TBL 5–4 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerMatheson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Matheson done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 11–6. Miller had 21 points (7 goals) and Matheson had 8 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →