Who to start · 2025-26
J.T. Miller vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.
Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Miller's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 547, Hardest shot 102.6, High-danger chances 54.5%.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Plus/minus +6, Transition attempts /60 1.50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
J.T. Miller
1.82
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Miller | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Miller vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Miller 6G 5A, 31 SOG · Jarvis 3G 5A, 37 SOG
Miller's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 1–0 · Miller's defensive zone 1–2 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
Miller blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Miller's.
On the ice against each other (Miller's side)
23:36 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–29
- 29.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.8
- 40.8%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Miller | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | NYR 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-26 | NYR 4–2 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-04-12 | NYR 3–7 CAR | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2025-01-10 | VAN 0–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-28 | VAN 3–4 CAR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-02-06 | VAN 3–2 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-09 | VAN 4–3 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-15 | VAN 4–3 CAR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-10-24 | VAN 2–3 CAR | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-01-15 | VAN 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-12-12 | VAN 2–1 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
J.T. Miller
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to C
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 11th-most FP to C
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start J.T. Miller or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, J.T. Miller or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Miller and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 5–7. Miller had 11 points (6 goals) and Jarvis had 8 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Miller or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Miller has won 4 and Jarvis 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →