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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Vince Dunn

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsVince DunnVince DunnKraken · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.5%, Hits 123, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, On-ice PDO 1012, Luck Meter +4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerDunn
Goals (+2)0.420.38
Assists (+1)0.440.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.22
Hits (+0.1)0.180.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerDunn
9Team record in 19 meetings10
17Points in those games13

Miller 5G 12A, 41 SOG · Dunn 5G 8A, 35 SOG

3Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other0

Miller blocked 2 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

16:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
22–13
62.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.5
48.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Vince Dunn
DateScoreMillerDunn
2026-01-12NYR 2–4 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-01NYR 3–2 SEA0G 1A 6S0G 1A 1S
2025-01-02VAN 4–3 SEA0G 1A 0S1G 1A 2S
2024-12-28VAN 4–5 SEA0G 2A 2S2G 1A 2S
2024-02-22VAN 2–5 SEA1G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-24VAN 5–1 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-18VAN 3–4 SEA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-04-04VAN 2–5 SEA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-25VAN 1–6 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2022-12-22VAN 6–5 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-10-27VAN 5–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-21VAN 5–2 SEA0G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerDunn

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Dunn done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 9–10. Miller had 17 points (5 goals) and Dunn had 13 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →