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Who to start · 2025-26

Justin Faulk vs Nikolaj Ehlers

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.

Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games.

This week Faulk has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Ehlers has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Faulk for 1.8 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.

Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Faulk's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Hits 70, Blocked shots 132.

Ehlers's biggest edges: Scoring chances 58.5%, Fenwick 61.3%, Corsi 60.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Justin Faulk

1.81

fantasy points per game

Nikolaj Ehlers

1.65

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Justin Faulk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFaulkEhlers
Goals (+2)0.380.56
Assists (+1)0.290.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.26
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.790.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Faulk vs Ehlers

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FaulkEhlers
6Team record in 21 meetings15
5Points in those games21

Faulk 1G 4A, 41 SOG · Ehlers 6G 15A, 51 SOG

3Hits on each other0
4Shots blocked by the other1

Faulk blocked 4 of Ehlers's shots; Ehlers blocked 1 of Faulk's.

On the ice against each other (Faulk's side)

3:49 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Faulk's side

Shot attempts
3–4
42.9%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
86.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Justin Faulk and Nikolaj Ehlers
DateScoreFaulkEhlers
2026-01-13STL 3–0 CAR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-05-04 · POSTL 3–4 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2025-05-02 · POSTL 5–2 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-02-22STL 3–4 WPG0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-22STL 2–3 WPG0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-27STL 2–4 WPG0G 0A 3S0G 2A 0S
2023-11-07STL 2–5 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-24STL 2–4 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-19STL 3–0 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-01-30STL 2–4 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-03-13STL 3–4 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 1A 5S
2021-12-19STL 2–4 WPG0G 0A 0S1G 3A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FaulkEhlers

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Justin Faulk

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.8 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to DLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

Nikolaj Ehlers

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Justin Faulk or Nikolaj Ehlers in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Justin Faulk projects to 1.81 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Faulk had 40 points in 78 games; Ehlers had 71 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Justin Faulk or Nikolaj Ehlers?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Faulk and Ehlers done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Faulk's team went 6–15. Faulk had 5 points (1 goals) and Ehlers had 21 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →