Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kiefer Sherwood vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77.

Sherwood had 36 points in 72 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Sherwood has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 1.7 ESPN points to Sherwood's 1.5.

Mattias Samuelsson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sherwood's biggest edges: Corsi 53.8%, Offensive-zone time 43.0%, Fenwick 53.8%.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +79.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kiefer Sherwood

1.77

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSherwoodSamuelsson
Goals (+2)0.600.44
Assists (+1)0.170.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.14
Hits (+0.1)0.490.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sherwood vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SherwoodSamuelsson
1Team record in 6 meetings5
3Points in those games3

Sherwood 2G 1A, 16 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 3A, 3 SOG

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Sherwood's side)

18:10 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Sherwood's side

Shot attempts
17–13
56.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.7
32.2%
Goals
0–5

Games against each other

Games between Kiefer Sherwood and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreSherwoodSamuelsson
2026-03-19SJS 0–5 BUF0G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-10SJS 3–6 BUF1G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2026-01-06VAN 3–5 BUF0G 1A 6S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-11VAN 2–3 BUF1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-21VAN 2–3 BUF0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-03NSH 2–1 BUF0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SherwoodSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kiefer Sherwood

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI1.7 pts

FAQ

Should I start Kiefer Sherwood or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kiefer Sherwood's 1.77. Sherwood had 36 points in 72 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kiefer Sherwood or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Samuelsson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sherwood and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Sherwood's team went 1–5. Sherwood had 3 points (2 goals) and Samuelsson had 3 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →