Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Mattias Samuelsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Samuelsson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Kaprizov's 1.9.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Power-play share 77.0%, Offensive-zone time 45.9%, Power-play time per game 3:54.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Luck Meter +79, Blocked shots 154.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovSamuelsson
Goals (+2)1.210.44
Assists (+1)0.530.34
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.14
Hits (+0.1)0.070.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.93

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Samuelsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovSamuelsson
1Team record in 4 meetings3
8Points in those games1

Kaprizov 4G 4A, 18 SOG · Samuelsson 0G 1A, 2 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Kaprizov blocked 0 of Samuelsson's shots; Samuelsson blocked 1 of Kaprizov's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

18:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
32–11
74.4%
Expected goals
1.6–0.3
86.0%
Goals
3–2

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Mattias Samuelsson
DateScoreKaprizovSamuelsson
2026-01-17MIN 5–4 BUF0G 3A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-29MIN 2–3 BUF1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-07MIN 5–6 BUF1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2022-03-04MIN 4–5 BUF2G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovSamuelsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Mattias Samuelsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Samuelsson had 41 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Mattias Samuelsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Samuelsson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 1–3. Kaprizov had 8 points (4 goals) and Samuelsson had 1 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →