Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Lawson Crouse vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65.

Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Crouse has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Crouse for 2.4 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Crouse's biggest edges: Hits 212, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.038, Shorthanded points 2.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 46.6%, Power-play points 30, Power-play share 79.5%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Lawson Crouse

1.65

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCrouseMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.561.49
Assists (+1)0.290.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.46
Hits (+0.1)0.280.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.300.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Crouse vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CrouseMacKinnon
9Team record in 29 meetings20
13Points in those games36

Crouse 6G 7A, 59 SOG · MacKinnon 14G 22A, 132 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other8

Crouse's offensive zone 0–4 · neutral 0–2 · Crouse's defensive zone 1–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
2Shots blocked by the other2

Crouse blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Crouse's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Crouse's side)

18:51 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Crouse's side

Shot attempts
21–15
58.3%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
46.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Lawson Crouse and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreCrouseMacKinnon
2025-12-23UTA 0–1 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-21UTA 4–3 COL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 8S
2025-10-09UTA 1–2 COL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2024-12-27UTA 1–4 COL0G 0A 1S0G 3A 4S
2024-12-12UTA 4–1 COL0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-24UTA 1–5 COL1G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-02-18ARI 3–4 COL1G 0A 6S1G 1A 9S
2023-12-27ARI 5–4 COL1G 1A 1S1G 1A 4S
2023-12-23ARI 1–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-30ARI 4–3 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 7S
2023-03-26ARI 3–4 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-03-24ARI 1–3 COL0G 0A 0S1G 2A 4S

Latest 12 of 29 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CrouseMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Lawson Crouse

3games (2 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.2 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Lawson Crouse or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Lawson Crouse's 1.65. Crouse had 44 points in 81 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Lawson Crouse or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Crouse and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 29 games against each other in our data, Crouse's team went 9–20. Crouse had 13 points (6 goals) and MacKinnon had 36 (14 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Crouse or MacKinnon?
Against each other, Crouse has won 1 and MacKinnon 8 of their 9 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →